Macro & Monetary Economics
Report 232 - July 6, 2011
How Markets React to Election Results
Competing political parties often declare that their economic
policies are best, and try to convince voters that the winner will be able to
influence the economy. One should ask, however, do markets really care about
election outcomes? Are there differences in market reactions to Presidential
versus Congressional elections? Can one say which branch of government is more
influential for economic policy-making?
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Report 231 - March 14, 2011
Does the Internet Help Find Jobs?
The Internet has dramatically increased the amount of
information available to both job seekers and employers. Economists and labor
market experts have predicted that this would change the way people find jobs.
It is now time to compare these predictions with people’s actual behavior. Has
the matching between workers and employers become easier? And does the Internet
facilitate the transition out of unemployment in the same way as it facilitates
the move to a new job by the currently employed?
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Q&A 18 - February 14, 2011
Globalization and Economic Development
Harvard University Professor Dani Rodrik answered readers'
questions on how globalization affects developing countries' growth prospects,
on what policies are most conducive to long-term growth in the global economy,
and on why some governments are unable to implement them.
Report 220 - January 30, 2011
What Determines the Volatility of Hours Worked?
Fluctuations in the labor market are naturally a major
concern to policymakers, trade unions, and companies. In particular, in the past
fifty years, there has been a trend towards an increase in the total number of
hours worked per worker in the United States, resulting in average workweeks
that are longer now than in the 1960s. Fluctuations in total work hours also
follow closely the business cycles. What determines this cyclical
behavior?
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Report 218 - January 22, 2011
Does International Outsourcing Amplify Volatility?
International outsourcing refers to the agreement where a
firm contracts another firm in a foreign country to perform parts of its
production process. In recent years, outsourcing has become an increasingly
important economic phenomenon worldwide. The traditional view is that
outsourcing induces growth, but some observers have recently pointed to it as a
source of instability and increased volatility. What are the relative merits of
these differing views?
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Report 216 - January 15, 2011
Pensions and Intergenerational Risk-Sharing
Different pension systems are used around the world. They
vary substantially according to how they share macroeconomic risks, how they
transfer wealth from one generation to another, and how they link contributions
and benefits at the individual level. What is the optimal mixture of these three
factors? Can a pension system be designed in such a way as to find an optimal
risk-sharing and wealth-transfer arrangement across generations?
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Q&A 16 - December 14, 2011
Democracy and Economic Growth
MIT Professor Daron Acemoglu answered readers' questions on
the economic origins of political regimes, the relationship between income and
democracy, the causes of long-run economic growth, and the role of institutions
in the economy.
Report 211 - December 13, 2011
Profit Sharing and Wage Inequality in Brazil
Achieving an equitable income distribution is a major concern
for many governments. Especially in emerging economies, rapid growth often leads
to very large income differentials across workers. This may result in social
unrest. Which factors have an impact on the sharing of wealth in emerging
economies? Are emerging and developed economies different in the extent to which
profits are shared between workers and firms?
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Report 204 - November 21, 2011
Why Are US Long-Term Interest Rates So Low?
In recent years, long-term interest rates on US Treasury
bonds have been extremely low by historical standards, even in the face of sharp
increases of short-term rates. What is the explanation for this phenomenon? More
generally, what are the main driving forces of long-term interest rates? Is
there a role for foreign official purchases of US government bonds? And, if so,
can the impact of foreign capital flows on long-term rates be precisely
quantified?
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Report 201 - November 8, 2011
Output vs. Employment Cycles
Understanding business cycles is of crucial importance to
both businesses and policymakers. While much is known, there is one very
important feature that had not been analyzed so far: the relative timing of
output and employment expansions and contractions. The paper examines the US
postwar experience to find out whether the widely held view that business
contractions are shorter and more violent than business expansions actually
corresponds to facts.
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